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If you've maxed out your 401(k), have a fully funded emergency
account, and are prepared for bigger, upcoming purchases, you may want
to consider investing in the stock market.
After all, there are
several compelling reasons to invest in stocks, financial
journalist
Andrew Tobias explains in the updated version of his 1978 investing
classic, "The Only Investment Guide You'll Ever Need ."
"Unlike bonds, stocks offer at least the potential of keeping up with
inflation," he writes, and, "Over the long run — and it may be a very
long run — stocks will outperform 'safer' investments," such as bonds,
CDs and money-market accounts.
That being said, investing is
always a risk. If you decide to go this route, consider "the most
sensible way for most people to invest in stocks," as summed up by
Tobias in the following 10 points.
1. Don't time your investments
People have a tendency to "shun
the market when it's getting drubbed and venture back only after it has
recovered," Tobias explains.
However, "It is precisely when the
market looks worst that the opportunities are best; precisely when
things are good again that the opportunities are slimmest and the risks
greatest."
In short: Don't get overly excited when the market is
judged to be healthy, and remember that bad things aren't obvious when
times are good. As legendary investor Warren Buffett likes to say , "You only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out."
2. Invest periodically — not all at once
Rather than rushing to buy
hundreds of shares when you're convinced the stock is going to take off,
invest a portion of your paycheck in the market each month, Tobias
recommends.
"Diversify over time by not investing all at once," he
says. "Spread your investments out to smooth the peaks and valleys of
the market. A lifetime of periodic investments — adding to your
investment fund $100 a month or $750 a month or whatever you can
comfortably afford — is the ticket to financial security."
3. Think long-term and leave your investments alone
"By and large, for your long-term money, 'buy and hold' is the way to go,'" Tobias emphasizes.
As Warren Buffett says , "If you aren't willing to own a stock for ten years, don't even think about owning it for ten minutes."
Forever is a good holding period. After all, Buffett has held his stock in GEICO since the 1950s, Tobias notes.
4. Diversify
Putting all of your money in one
place is asking for trouble. "If all your money is riding on two or
three stocks, you are exposed to far more risk than if you've
diversified over 20 or 30," Tobias writes.
Think about it: 20 or 30 companies simultaneously failing is pretty unlikely.
He
also points out much of the market's gain has come from a small number
of "big winners," such as Microsoft and Intel: "So you could attempt to
find these stocks to the exclusion of the rest of the market ... but
probably miss them. Or you could be content to buy very broad index
funds that, while they'll perform only 'average,' will almost surely
include these great stocks in their average."
5. Don't fall for the stocks that 'everyone' likes
"Beware high-fliers and the
stocks that 'everyone' likes, even though they may be the stocks of
outstanding companies," Tobias warns. "Even if the growth comes in on
schedule, the stocks may not go up. They're already up. Should earnings
not continue to grow as expected, such stocks can collapse, even though
the underlying company may remain sound."
Plus, it's unlikely that these stocks have been ignored and are "hidden gems" Wall Street has failed to discover, he notes.
6. Invest — don't speculate
"It's one thing to take risks in
low-priced stocks you hope, over time, may solve their problems and
quintuple in value. ... But it's quite another thing to jump in and out
of stocks (or options or futures) hoping to 'play the market'
successfully," Tobias writes.
Keep it simple, he emphasizes: "Buy value and hold it. Don't switch in and out. Don't try to outsmart the market."
7. Only invest money you won't need for a long time
Little, if anything, is guaranteed when it comes to investing.
You
could earn money or lose it, so if you'll need quick access to liquid
cash in the short term, you probably won't want to invest.
"Only
invest money you won't have to touch for many years," Tobias emphasizes.
"If you don't have money like that, don't buy stocks. People who buy
stocks when they get bonuses and sell them when the roof starts to leak
are entrusting their investment decisions to their roofs."
8. Ignore the noise
Investing gets emotional.
Oftentimes, our choices are clouded by fear, greed, and nervousness —
and it doesn't help that you can see how you're doing throughout the
day.
Avoid the temptation to check a stock ticker or your
account on a daily or weekly basis. Markets go up and down every day,
and so do individual stocks, "but that doesn't mean there is
significance to every move," Tobias warns.
Plus, the more you
trade, the more you underperform, Buffett says: "For investors as a
whole, returns decrease as motion increases."
9. Don't bother subscribing to investor newsletters
"The more-expensive investor
newsletters and computer services only make sense for investors with
lots of money — if then," Tobias says. "Besides their cost, there is the
problem that they are liable to tempt you into buying, and scare you
into selling, much too often."
Plus, "Half the experts, at any given time, are likely to be wrong," he says.
There
are plenty of free, online resources that you're better off tapping
into. Tobias recommends Yahoo Finance to learn more about publicly
traded companies (you can look at annual reports, charts of performance,
and earnings estimates) and Morningstar to learn about mutual funds and
investing in general.
10. Embrace index funds
"The bottom line is that most
people should do their stock-market investing through no-load index
funds — mutual funds that don't attempt to actively pick the best
stocks, but just passively invest in all the stocks in the index they
are designed to match," Tobias writes.
You won't be hitting
any grand slams by investing in low-cost index funds, but you also won't
lose money rapidly or dramatically.
Plus, Warren Buffett, his
right-hand man Charlie Munger, and Vanguard founder John C. Bogle are
all big advocates of the index fund.
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